Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	1.23	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	19	67	1	1.02	19	-	-	-	-	1.88	1.98	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +36.1% | EV +79.5% | ROI +76.3% | n=43 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.2% | ROI +17.7% | n=43 | k=1.88

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -5.6% | ROI -26.5% | n=43 | k=1.98

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.8% | EV -15.1% | ROI +30.2% | n=43 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 75th minute, Celta leads Elche 2-0 in LaLiga. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 40% from pre-match levels, reflecting their lead despite no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure recently. Historical data supports a strong edge for a -1 handicap on Celta, showing a 93.5% win rate and a 76.3% ROI over 43 matches. The model confirms this advantage with a 36.1% edge and an expected value of +79.5%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Celta -1, but risk should be managed carefully given the current game dynamics and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 75