Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	2.85	1.32	1.38	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	3.3	1.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.09	7.5	67	1	1.08	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.35

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.1% | EV +63.0% | ROI -77.5% | n=40 | k=3.30

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.4% | ROI +4.6% | n=40 | k=1.40

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -4.6% | ROI +1.7% | n=40 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -8.9% | EV -25.4% | ROI -8.6% | n=40 | k=2.85

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Celta leads Elche 2-1 with no red cards shown. The market favors the home side, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels, indicating increased confidence in Celta. Despite this, shot statistics do not clearly support dominance by either team, though the home team is applying more pressure in recent minutes. Historical data for similar situations shows a weak record for betting on Elche with a +1 handicap, and the model's recommended bet on AH_AWAY+1 at 3.30 odds is not activated due to current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the AH_AWAY+1 option with a positive edge of 19.1% and expected value of 63%, but this remains a monitoring scenario rather than a firm betting opportunity given the negative historical ROI and incomplete entry conditions.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 81