Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	5	1.85	1.38	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	2	1.17

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.14	6	51	1	1.12	5.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.65	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.1% | EV +60.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=40 | k=5.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.5% | EV +27.0% | ROI -77.5% | n=40 | k=2.00

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.8% | EV +16.7% | ROI -100.0% | n=40 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.6% | ROI +1.7% | n=40 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 81st minute with Celta leading 2-1, the market is favoring the home side, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite this, shot data does not strongly support dominance by either team, though Celta is applying pressure in the recent phase. Historically, the away handicap +1 has a poor record in similar situations, with no wins in 40 matches and a negative ROI of -77.5%, indicating weak historical support. The model suggests a potential value bet on AH_AWAY+1 with a 13.5% edge and 27.0% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets recommend watching double chance on the away team or AH_AWAY+1, but no confident bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is warranted.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 81