Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	5	1.8	1.38	-	-
Away	1	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	2.05	1.17

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.12	6	51	1	1.12	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.7	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.4% | EV +74.2% | ROI -28.0% | n=50 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.6% | EV +29.8% | ROI -15.4% | n=50 | k=2.05

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.5% | EV +15.3% | ROI -28.0% | n=50 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -3.0% | ROI -11.5% | n=50 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At the 85th minute with Celta leading 2-1 against Elche, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 41% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Celta's lead, Elche has been more active in shots, and neither team is maintaining sustained pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a clear advantage for the away handicap +1, which also shows negative ROI. The model identifies a potential value in betting on AH_AWAY+1 at odds of 2.05 with a positive edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is recommended now. The top-4 market signals suggest watching double chance for the away team or the away handicap +1, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity due to risk and historical performance concerns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 85