Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	5	4	1	3	-	1.11	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	1	0	0	13	4	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	6.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	51	451	1.17	1.22	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.5% | EV +45.0% | ROI +114.0% | n=20 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -26.5% | EV -43.8% | ROI -95.0% | n=20 | k=1.65

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -32.9% | EV -65.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=20 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Celta leading 3-1 against Elche, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and there is no sustained pressure in the final minutes. Historically, similar situations show weak support for the away handicap +1.5, with poor ROI and insufficient sample size. The model favors the away +1.5 handicap with a high edge and expected value, but the betting window has closed after the 86th minute. Among top markets, the home -1 Asian handicap is worth monitoring due to positive edge and ROI, but no clear bet is advised now. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing risk control given the match context and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 90