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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	1.35	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	11	29	1.01	1.05	10	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.98	1.88

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.5% | EV +67.2% | ROI +72.5% | n=56 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.5% | ROI -0.4% | n=56 | k=3.10

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.6% | ROI -6.2% | n=56 | k=1.88

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -7.1% | EV -9.6% | ROI -8.4% | n=56 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Although shots do not clearly favor either team and the guests have pressed recently, Celta shows more activity compared to their last meeting, while Elche performs below their usual level. Historical data supports a strong advantage for the home handicap -1, with an 88.4% win rate and 72.5% ROI over 56 matches. The model confirms this with a 30.5% edge and 67.2% expected value at odds of 2.20. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered. The top recommendation is to back AH_HOME-1 with risk control in place, while other markets suggest monitoring or no bet at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 45