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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	1.38	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.06	11	29	1.01	1.05	10	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.3% | EV +66.8% | ROI +75.4% | n=52 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.8% | ROI -7.7% | n=52 | k=3.00

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.0% | ROI -6.5% | n=52 | k=1.80

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -6.3% | EV -8.7% | ROI -4.8% | n=52 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At 46 minutes with Celta leading 2-0 against Elche, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, shot data does not show clear dominance, and recent play has seen pressure from Elche. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Celta with a 90% win rate and a 75.4% ROI over 52 matches, confirming a strong edge. The model confirms this with a +30.3% edge and +66.8% expected value at odds of 2.20, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Celta -1, but this should be done with risk control in mind. Other markets suggest monitoring rather than betting at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 46