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Spain | LaLiga | Celta - Elche | 03.05.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 61'   —   Celta 2:0 Elche
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 2 2 0 2 - 1.3 2.2 1.38 - -
Away 0 0 0 8 3 5 1 - - - 3 1.65 3.45
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.04 13 41 1 1.04 13 - - - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +71.9% | ROI +75.1% | n=49 | k=2.20
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.3% | EV +4.5% | ROI +5.6% | n=49 | k=3.45
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.0% | ROI +19.2% | n=49 | k=1.42
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.3% | ROI -13.0% | n=49 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At 61 minutes, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Celta, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Elche having more shots and showing more activity recently. Historical data supports a strong advantage for Celta with a -1 Asian Handicap, showing an 89.5% win rate and 75.1% ROI over 49 matches. The model confirms this bet with a 32.7% edge and 71.9% expected value at odds of 2.20. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Celta with risk control in place, while other markets like over 2.5 goals or under 3.5 goals are not recommended currently.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 61