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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.26	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.7

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.03	17	51	1	1.02	15	-	-	-	-	1.67	2.2	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.2% | EV +77.4% | ROI +69.2% | n=48 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.8% | ROI +21.5% | n=48 | k=1.67

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.6% | EV -5.9% | ROI +31.0% | n=48 | k=3.70

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -7.1% | ROI -40.4% | n=48 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 71st minute, Celta leads Elche 2-0 in LaLiga. The market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 39% from pre-match levels, reflecting their advantage despite Elche's higher shot count and recent pressure. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Celta -1, showing an 88.6% win rate and a 69.2% ROI over 48 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +35.2% and expected value of +77.4%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a strong candidate for backing Celta with handicap -1, but as always, risk management is advised given the guests' active play and pressure in the late stages.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 71