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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	3	1	3	-	1.25	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	17	51	1	1.02	17	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.05	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.8% | EV +78.8% | ROI +80.0% | n=41 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.6% | ROI +18.5% | n=41 | k=1.80

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.9% | EV -6.0% | ROI -30.0% | n=41 | k=2.05

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.1% | EV -15.4% | ROI +11.2% | n=41 | k=3.80

AI-agent: At the 74th minute in the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 40% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Recent pressure has been balanced despite the scoreline. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for the home handicap -1 bet, with a 93.5% win rate and 80% ROI over 41 matches. The model confirms this with a +35.8% edge and +78.8% expected value at odds of 2.20. While no new bet is opened since this position is already covered, this remains the best value opportunity according to top markets. This is a monitored situation with a clear statistical advantage for backing Celta on AH -1, but as always, risk management is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 74