Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.3	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	2.35	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	2.88	3.5	1.28	1.36	1.53	1.17	5	1.73	2.08	3.4	1.33	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +11.9% | EV +41.6% | ROI -30.5% | n=136 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.3% | EV +5.0% | ROI -13.2% | n=136 | k=1.53

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.3% | EV +4.4% | ROI +10.3% | n=136 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -6.8% | ROI +0.7% | n=136 | k=2.08

AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the Getafe vs Vallecano match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Vallecano, with their odds dropping 15% since pre-match, indicating clear market confidence. However, shot data does not strongly support dominance by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter on January 2, 2026, which ended 1-1. Historical data shows a weak edge for Vallecano wins but with a negative ROI of -30.5%, making the historical reliability low. The model suggests a potential value bet on Vallecano to win at odds of 3.50 with an edge of +11.9% and expected value of +41.6%, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 market signals also recommend watching rather than betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced situation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 15