Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.62	2.25	4	1.22	1.57	1.44	1.38	3	2.6	1.48	6.5	1.11	17	1.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.5% | EV +42.0% | ROI -16.2% | n=105 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.3% | EV +12.4% | ROI +12.2% | n=105 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.7% | ROI -1.3% | n=105 | k=1.57

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.1% | ROI -16.1% | n=105 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At the 33rd minute of the Getafe vs Vallecano match, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 27% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. However, shot statistics do not confirm dominance by either side, and the tempo is slower compared to their previous encounter, which also stood at 0-0 at this stage. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI, despite a slight edge for an away win. The model currently favors a Vallecano victory with a +10.5% edge and +42.0% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the current score, tempo, and match stats. The top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, highlighting a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised given the uncertain match dynamics and historical performance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 33