Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	3.3	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.62	2.25	4.33	1.2	1.57	1.44	1.38	3	2.67	1.45	6.5	1.11	19	1.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +10.6% | EV +46.0% | ROI -7.1% | n=98 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.9% | EV +13.1% | ROI +11.4% | n=98 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.4% | EV +2.0% | ROI -17.5% | n=98 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.6% | EV -0.9% | ROI +1.0% | n=98 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 36 minutes in the Getafe vs Vallecano match, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 27% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. However, shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and the tempo is slower than their previous encounter, which ended 1-1. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI of -7.1%, despite a 21.4% chance of an away win. The model favors a Vallecano victory with a 10.6% edge and +46.0% expected value, but the entry conditions are not met yet, so no bet is advised. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is recommended given the mixed signals and current scoreline of 0-0.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 36