Match Replay

Step 30 of 69. Current minute: 43 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 30 of 69 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.38	-
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	3	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6.5	3.25	1.67	2.1	1.33	1.11	-	-	1.35	3.1	2.6	1.48	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.5% | EV +24.6% | ROI +24.9% | n=26 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.5% | EV +6.1% | ROI -28.2% | n=26 | k=1.33

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.9% | EV -5.8% | ROI -11.5% | n=26 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -4.1% | ROI +13.5% | n=26 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At 43 minutes, Vallecano leads Getafe 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors Vallecano with a significant drop in odds compared to pre-match levels, reflecting their shot advantage despite no sustained pressure recently. Historical data for the away handicap +1 shows strong past performance but the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best bet with an 18.5% edge and 24.6% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so cautious observation is advised before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 43