Match Replay

Step 37 of 69. Current minute: 47 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	2	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.38	2.2
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	1.65	3	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7.5	3.25	1.61	2.2	1.33	1.08	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.1% | EV +92.5% | ROI +79.3% | n=27 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.7% | EV +24.7% | ROI +25.2% | n=27 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.7% | EV +6.3% | ROI -30.9% | n=27 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -4.5% | ROI +8.9% | n=27 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 47 minutes with Vallecano leading 1-0 against Getafe, the market shows strong support for the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. The game has been closely contested, with Vallecano more active in shots, though Getafe is pressing in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations suggests a positive edge on the home handicap +1.5, but the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies AH_HOME+1.5 as the best candidate with a notable edge and expected value, yet the entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. Overall, this is a watch situation with promising indicators but requiring cautious risk management before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 47