Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	1	5	4	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.45	2.2
Away	1	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	1.65	2.67	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9	3.5	1.5	2.5	1.28	1.07	-	-	1.5	2.5	3.4	1.33	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.2% | EV +95.1% | ROI +72.2% | n=23 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.8% | EV +24.9% | ROI +29.7% | n=23 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.3% | ROI -2.2% | n=23 | k=1.45

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.7% | EV -5.5% | ROI +4.3% | n=23 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 56th minute, Vallecano leads Getafe 1-0 in a balanced match with slightly more shots from the visitors. Market pressure favors Vallecano, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Historical data on similar situations suggests a strong edge for a +1.5 handicap on Getafe, but the sample size is limited and the entry conditions are not fully met yet. The best current bet candidate is Getafe +1.5 AH with a high expected value, but this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet due to incomplete confirmation. Risk control advises monitoring the match further before committing.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 56