Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.43	3.3
Away	2	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	1.32	2.75	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.02	17	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	2.1	1.77	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.1% | EV +126.9% | ROI -8.0% | n=25 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +22.0% | EV +72.4% | ROI +84.8% | n=25 | k=3.30

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.0% | ROI +29.9% | n=25 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.5% | ROI -7.6% | n=25 | k=1.77

AI-agent: At 73 minutes, Vallecano leads Getafe 2-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away team, reflected by a 75% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance. The recent phase shows Getafe pressing, but overall gameplay is balanced, similar to their previous meeting where the home side led 1-0 at this stage but the match ended 1-1. Historical data on 1X (home not to lose) is limited and inconclusive, with only 25 matches and a failed validation check. The model signals a 1X bet with a strong edge and expected value, but no new bet is opened due to weak historical confirmation. Top-4 markets suggest watching Asian Handicap lines with positive edges but advise caution, as no clear betting opportunity is confirmed. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 73