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Spain | LaLiga | Getafe - Vallecano | 03.05.2026 | 19:15:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Getafe 0:0 Vallecano
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.3 1.57 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - - - 2.35 1.32 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.38 2.75 3.6 1.25 1.4 1.53 1.2 4.5 1.82 2.02 3.5 1.3 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +11.5% | EV +41.4% | ROI -28.0% | n=135 | k=3.60
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.9% | EV +5.2% | ROI +10.4% | n=135 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.3% | EV +5.1% | ROI -12.6% | n=135 | k=1.53
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.1% | ROI -5.4% | n=135 | k=1.82
AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Getafe vs Vallecano match, the market shows clear pressure favoring Vallecano, with odds dropping 12% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not strongly confirm dominance by either side, and the tempo is slower than their previous encounter. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI, so it provides limited guidance. The model identifies a value bet on Vallecano to win with an edge of +11.5% and expected value of +41.4%, but entry conditions based on current score and match rhythm are not met yet. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away win and related options rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than immediate action.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 17