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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	2	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.38	2.2
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	0	-	1.65	3	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7.5	3.25	1.61	2.2	1.33	1.08	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +40.7% | EV +89.5% | ROI +72.2% | n=23 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.7% | EV +24.8% | ROI +25.3% | n=23 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.7% | EV +6.3% | ROI -30.5% | n=23 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.6% | ROI -13.0% | n=23 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 48 minutes, Vallecano leads Getafe 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors Vallecano, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active play and recent dominance in shots. Historical data for a home handicap +1.5 shows strong returns but the sample size is insufficient for full confidence. The model identifies a promising bet on AH_HOME+1.5 with a 40.7% edge and high expected value, yet entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not fully met. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, advising careful risk management if considering a position.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 48