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Spain | LaLiga | Getafe - Vallecano | 03.05.2026 | 19:15:00 | LIVE 51'   —   Getafe 0:1 Vallecano
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 1 4 3 - - 3.3 1.43 1.4 2.2
Away 1 0 0 7 3 4 0 - 1.65 2.85 2.75 1.32 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8 3.4 1.53 2.38 1.3 1.08 - - 1.45 2.67 3.1 1.35 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.3% | EV +93.0% | ROI +60.0% | n=22 | k=2.20
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.7% | EV +24.8% | ROI +25.0% | n=22 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +4.2% | EV +5.4% | ROI -23.2% | n=22 | k=1.30
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -4.5% | ROI +16.6% | n=22 | k=1.35
AI-agent: At 51 minutes, Vallecano leads Getafe 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors Vallecano, with odds dropping 63% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active shot count and slight dominance. Historical data for the home handicap +1.5 shows a positive ROI but the sample size is insufficient for a strong conclusion. The model identifies AH_HOME+1.5 as the best candidate with a significant edge and expected value, yet entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation where cautious observation is recommended rather than immediate action.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 51