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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.43	3.45
Away	2	0	0	8	4	4	0	-	1.3	2.75	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.02	17	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.8	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.2% | EV +127.1% | ROI -8.0% | n=25 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +23.1% | EV +79.5% | ROI +84.8% | n=25 | k=3.45

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.0% | ROI +29.9% | n=25 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -1.8% | ROI -7.6% | n=25 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 73 minutes, Vallecano leads 2-0 against Getafe, with market pressure favoring the visitors as their odds dropped significantly since pre-match. Despite this, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and the home team is applying pressure in recent minutes. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not confirm a reliable edge for betting on Getafe not to lose. The model suggests a potential value bet on 1X (Getafe not to lose) with positive expected value, but the entry is not confirmed due to insufficient historical validation. Top-4 markets recommend watching Asian Handicap lines rather than placing a bet now, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 73