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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	3.3	1.43	1.43	4.4
Away	2	0	0	9	5	4	1	-	1.2	2.75	2.75	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	26	1.01	26	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.9	1.43	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +47.3% | EV +130.2% | ROI +127.3% | n=11 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.7% | EV +113.2% | ROI +20.0% | n=11 | k=4.40

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.0% | ROI +32.5% | n=11 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -7.8% | ROI +5.5% | n=11 | k=2.90

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Vallecano leads Getafe 2-0 in this LaLiga match. Market pressure strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side, and while Vallecano is more active than in their last meeting, Getafe is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations suggests a strong edge for a -1 handicap on Vallecano, but the sample size is too small to confirm. The model identifies a promising bet on Vallecano -1 handicap with good expected value and edge, yet entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met, so this remains a watch situation. Risk management advises monitoring rather than betting now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 83