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Spain | LaLiga | Getafe - Vallecano | 03.05.2026 | 19:15:00 | LIVE 12'   —   Getafe 0:0 Vallecano
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.3 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - - - 2.38 1.32 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.3 2.75 3.6 1.25 1.4 1.53 1.17 5 1.73 2.08 3.4 1.33 7 1.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +11.1% | EV +40.0% | ROI -28.5% | n=141 | k=3.60
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.6% | EV +4.0% | ROI -14.1% | n=141 | k=1.53
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.1% | ROI +9.7% | n=141 | k=1.32
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -6.8% | ROI -1.4% | n=141 | k=2.08
AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the Getafe vs Vallecano match, the market shows clear pressure favoring the away side with odds dropping 12% from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. The game tempo is slower than their previous meeting, which ended 1-1 after a 0-0 start at this stage. Historical data on similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI despite a moderate probability for an away win. The model identifies a value edge of +11.1% and an expected value of +40.0% on an away win at odds of 3.60, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a watch situation with moderate upside but also risk, so cautious monitoring is recommended rather than immediate action.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391153 | minute: 12