Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.1	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	2.75	1.35	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2	3.2	4	1.22	1.33	1.73	1.11	6.5	1.55	2.38	2.67	1.45	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +18.6% | EV +74.4% | ROI +36.4% | n=1501 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.5% | EV +26.8% | ROI +16.9% | n=1501 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.9% | EV +9.4% | ROI +11.0% | n=1501 | k=1.35

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.7% | ROI -3.2% | n=1501 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At 24 minutes into the Valencia vs Ath Madrid match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, as the odds have dropped 15% from pre-match levels, reflecting strong market consensus. Despite the even scoreline, Ath Madrid is more active and dominant in shots and tempo, surpassing their previous head-to-head performance, while Valencia is underperforming. Historical data from over 1500 similar matches shows a 34.1% probability and a positive ROI of 36.4% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.93. The model identifies an edge of +18.6% and an expected value of +74.4% for an Ath Madrid victory at odds of 4.00, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current score and match dynamics. The top recommended markets suggest watching the away win and related bets rather than placing a firm wager now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control are advised before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 24