Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	2.2	1.45	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	2.67	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3	4	1.22	1.36	1.67	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +18.3% | EV +73.1% | ROI +31.7% | n=1285 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.8% | EV +35.9% | ROI +33.8% | n=1285 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.8% | EV +24.7% | ROI +14.9% | n=1285 | k=1.67

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.9% | ROI -0.8% | n=1285 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 30th minute of the Valencia vs Ath Madrid match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market confidence in a balanced game. Ath Madrid shows more attacking activity and dominates recent play, outperforming their previous head-to-head benchmark, while Valencia is below their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 market, with an 86.2% win rate and 33.8% ROI over 1285 matches. The best model suggestion is AH_AWAY+1 at 1.65 odds with a 21.8% edge and 35.9% expected value, but the entry rule is not yet met due to current score and tempo, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets all recommend watching rather than betting, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry, with risk control advised given the match dynamics and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 30