Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	2.2	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	9	2	7	3	-	-	-	2.38	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.62	3.75	1.25	1.44	1.5	1.25	4	2.08	1.73	4.5	1.2	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.8% | EV +45.9% | ROI +36.5% | n=858 | k=1.65

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +17.6% | EV +66.0% | ROI +18.4% | n=858 | k=3.75

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.2% | EV +18.3% | ROI +6.6% | n=858 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.1% | ROI -3.7% | n=858 | k=2.08

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the match between Valencia and Ath Madrid remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping 31% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market confidence. Ath Madrid shows more activity and shots, maintaining pressure especially in the latest phase, and their performance surpasses previous head-to-head benchmarks, while Valencia is below their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 with 88% win probability and 36.5% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not meeting entry criteria. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the away handicap +1 as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk control given the balanced score and game flow.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 45