Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	2.2	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	11	2	9	3	-	-	-	2.5	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	2.6	4	1.22	1.44	1.53	1.28	3.75	2.2	1.65	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.0% | EV +46.2% | ROI +36.5% | n=858 | k=1.65

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +17.4% | EV +69.8% | ROI +26.3% | n=858 | k=4.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.0% | EV +19.9% | ROI +9.0% | n=858 | k=1.53

4) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.7% | ROI +2.1% | n=858 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At halftime, the score remains 0-0 between Valencia and Ath Madrid, with market pressure favoring a draw as the odds have dropped 31% from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, but Ath Madrid shows more activity in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 with an 88% win rate and 36.5% ROI, confirmed by a large sample of 858 matches. The model highlights AH_AWAY+1 as the best candidate with a 28% edge and 46.2% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching this opportunity rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 45