Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	2.2	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	11	2	9	4	-	-	-	2.42	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	2.05	4.5	1.18	1.67	1.4	1.53	2.5	3.5	1.3	10	1.06	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.0% | EV +51.2% | ROI +43.5% | n=503 | k=1.65

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +14.8% | EV +66.6% | ROI +27.0% | n=503 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +6.7% | EV +10.3% | ROI -1.9% | n=503 | k=1.53

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.1% | EV +14.1% | ROI +6.0% | n=503 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 61st minute of the Valencia vs Ath Madrid match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with the odds dropping 45% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market bias. Although the game is balanced, Ath Madrid shows more activity in shots and tempo, outperforming their previous head-to-head benchmark, while Valencia is below their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1, with a 92.9% win rate and 43.5% ROI over 503 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best option with a 31% edge and 51.2% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match dynamics. All top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, so this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity. Caution is advised despite the promising statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 61