Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	0	6	1	-	-	2.2	1.7	-	-
Away	0	0	0	15	2	13	5	-	-	-	2.2	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	1.83	4.5	1.18	1.83	1.3	1.73	2.1	4.5	1.2	15	1.03	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.5% | EV +52.0% | ROI +47.1% | n=399 | k=1.65

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +14.2% | EV +63.8% | ROI +16.2% | n=399 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +17.7% | EV +23.6% | ROI +27.6% | n=399 | k=1.33

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +11.5% | EV +19.9% | ROI -5.2% | n=399 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 70th minute, the game between Valencia and Ath Madrid remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping 51% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market confidence. Ath Madrid has been more active in shots and overall tempo, especially in the recent phase, showing better form compared to previous encounters. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1, with a 94.6% win rate and a 47.1% ROI over 399 matches. Although the model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best value bet with a 31.5% edge and 52.0% expected value, the entry conditions based on current score and match dynamics are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. The top-4 markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate action, emphasizing risk control in this balanced and tight match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 70