Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	1	-	-	2.2	1.62	1.48	-
Away	1	0	0	16	3	13	5	-	-	2.6	2.35	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	3.75	1.33	3.25	1.25	1.02	-	-	1.9	1.95	6	1.12	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.6% | EV +57.1% | ROI +47.9% | n=381 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +3.2% | ROI +64.6% | n=381 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +5.3% | ROI +30.7% | n=381 | k=1.90

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.8% | EV +7.1% | ROI NA | n=381 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At the 73rd minute, Ath Madrid leads Valencia 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly since pre-match, reflecting their recent dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data strongly supports an Asian Handicap +1 for Ath Madrid, showing a 94.8% win rate and a solid ROI of 47.9%. Although the model identifies a promising edge and expected value on this handicap at 1.65 odds, the entry conditions based on current score and match rhythm are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring scenario where cautious observation is recommended rather than immediate wagering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 73