Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	1	-	-	2.2	1.62	1.45	-
Away	1	0	0	16	3	13	5	-	-	2.67	2.35	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	3.75	1.36	3	1.25	1.02	-	-	1.93	1.93	6.5	1.11	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.5% | EV +57.0% | ROI +47.9% | n=381 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +5.4% | ROI +30.7% | n=381 | k=1.92

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.7% | EV +9.8% | ROI NA | n=381 | k=1.45

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.7% | EV -12.9% | ROI -12.0% | n=381 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 73 minutes in the Valencia vs Ath Madrid match, Ath Madrid leads 1-0 and the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 69% from pre-match levels. The visitors have been more active in shots and pressure, especially in recent phases, showing improved form compared to their last meeting. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Ath Madrid with a 94.8% win rate and a 47.9% ROI, indicating value. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current score and match tempo conditions. This is a watch situation with the best candidate being AH_AWAY+1 at 1.65 odds, suggesting potential but requiring cautious monitoring rather than immediate entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 73