Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	0	8	1	-	-	2.2	1.62	1.68	5.75
Away	2	0	0	18	4	14	6	-	1.14	2.25	2.35	1.65	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
501	51	1	1.2	1.25	2.2	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +74.8% | EV +429.9% | ROI -73.3% | n=151 | k=5.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +49.9% | EV +109.7% | ROI +120.0% | n=151 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +35.8% | EV +69.0% | ROI +69.6% | n=151 | k=1.92

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.7% | EV +57.3% | ROI +65.0% | n=151 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Ath Madrid leads Valencia 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the away side, reflected in a 77% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The match has been close, but Ath Madrid has been more active in shots and tempo, especially in the final phase. Historical data for similar handicap bets on Valencia (+1.5) is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the model does not open this bet now despite a high edge and expected value. The top markets suggest watching the handicap and double chance options rather than placing a bet, indicating a monitoring situation with no confirmed entry. This cautious approach helps manage risk given the current match context and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391157 | minute: 90