Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	2	-	-	2.3	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.6	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.75	4.5	1.18	1.25	2	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.85	2	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.9% | EV +26.7% | ROI +58.8% | n=408 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.7% | EV +11.4% | ROI +31.9% | n=408 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +5.7% | ROI +24.1% | n=408 | k=1.60

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.9% | ROI +9.8% | n=408 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At 20 minutes into the Villarreal vs Levante match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels, indicating balanced expectations. Shot data does not clearly support either side, though Villarreal has shown more activity recently, while Levante is below their usual level. Historical data from 408 similar matches suggests a 35.3% chance of an away win with a strong ROI of 58.8%, and the model shows a positive edge of 5.9% on Levante's victory at odds of 4.50. However, this edge is just below the minimum threshold for placing a bet, so the recommendation is to watch and monitor rather than bet now. This cautious approach helps manage risk despite the promising expected value and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 20