Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	2	-	-	2.3	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	-	1.6	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.75	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	1.06	10	1.3	3.5	1.98	1.88	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.0% | EV +28.6% | ROI +63.7% | n=357 | k=4.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.0% | EV +10.0% | ROI +33.9% | n=357 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.6% | EV +9.0% | ROI +25.3% | n=357 | k=1.60

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.6% | ROI +10.8% | n=357 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At the 25th minute of Villarreal vs Levante, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play without a clear dominance in shots. The recent phase favors the home side slightly, but the score remains 0-0, matching the even tempo of the game. Historical data from 357 similar matches indicates a strong edge for an away win with a 63.7% ROI and a fair odds estimate of 2.90, though the current model suggests a higher odds of 4.75 with a 6% edge and 28.6% expected value. However, the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. The top recommended markets all advise monitoring with positive expected values but no confirmed entry, emphasizing cautious observation rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 25