Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	2	-	-	2.38	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	-	1.55	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.7	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.7% | EV +27.1% | ROI +58.8% | n=311 | k=4.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.5% | EV +11.1% | ROI +34.4% | n=311 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.2% | ROI +22.8% | n=311 | k=1.55

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.5% | ROI +21.5% | n=311 | k=3.60

AI-agent: At 29 minutes in a 0-0 match between Villarreal and Levante, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 12% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play without a clear dominance in shots. The recent phase favors the home side slightly, but the tempo is slower compared to their last encounter, which ended 0-1. Historical data from 311 similar matches supports an away win with a 33.4% probability and a strong ROI of 58.8%, but the model's edge at +5.7% is just below the 6.0% threshold needed to place a bet. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away win, double chance away or draw no bet, and Asian handicap +1 for the away team, all showing positive expected value but not strong enough for a confident entry. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and patience for better confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 29