Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	2.08	1.48	1.32	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	3.3	2.6	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5	12	1.04	1.17	3.5	-	-	1.12	6	1.6	2.3	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.8% | EV +20.3% | ROI +21.2% | n=242 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.0% | EV +18.3% | ROI +14.0% | n=242 | k=2.60

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.7% | EV +13.7% | ROI +12.8% | n=242 | k=5.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.5% | ROI NA | n=242 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 38 minutes with Villarreal leading 1-0, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 27% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Villarreal shows more activity in shots, though recent pressure is balanced. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Levante with an 82.5% success rate and 14% ROI, and the model indicates a positive edge and expected value on this bet. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. The top markets suggest monitoring double chance on Levante, the +1 handicap, and draw options, all showing positive expected value but requiring cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 38