Match Replay

Step 71 of 88. Current minute: 75 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	14	3	11	5	-	2.5	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	67	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +40.1% | EV +100.3% | ROI +133.3% | n=15 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.2% | EV +92.4% | ROI +121.3% | n=15 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -46.8% | EV -70.2% | ROI -90.0% | n=15 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -46.2% | EV -73.9% | ROI -93.3% | n=15 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At 75 minutes with Villarreal leading 3-1, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 42% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Villarreal has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the latest phase, matching the scoreline well. Historical data for similar handicap bets on Villarreal -1 is limited and thus the model has not confirmed the entry despite a promising edge of +40.2% and expected value over +90%. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the handicap -1 and -1.5 lines, both showing positive edges but no firm bet recommendation yet. This is a monitoring situation where risk control is important before committing to a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 75