Match Replay

Step 74 of 88. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	4	12	5	-	2.5	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.4% | EV +108.5% | ROI +130.8% | n=13 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.9% | EV +94.0% | ROI +120.0% | n=13 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -46.9% | EV -75.0% | ROI -92.3% | n=13 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -50.1% | EV -75.1% | ROI -88.5% | n=13 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Villarreal leads Levante 3-1 with no red cards shown. The market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, reflecting Villarreal's dominance in shots and pressure in the final phase. The current gameplay aligns closely with their previous meeting, though historical data for similar handicap bets is limited and does not fully confirm the model's signal. Despite a promising model edge of +40.9% and expected value of +94.0% on the -1 handicap for Villarreal, the historical sample size is too small to open a new bet confidently. The top markets suggest watching the -1 and -1.5 handicaps for Villarreal with positive expected returns, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 79