Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	4	12	5	-	2.5	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	29	101	1	1.01	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.9% | EV +109.8% | ROI +133.3% | n=15 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +41.0% | EV +94.3% | ROI +121.3% | n=15 | k=2.30

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -47.0% | EV -75.2% | ROI -93.3% | n=15 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -50.6% | EV -75.9% | ROI -90.0% | n=15 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 82nd minute with Villarreal leading 3-1 over Levante, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 43% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Villarreal has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the final stages, matching the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations is limited, so the confidence in the handicap -1 for Villarreal is weak despite a positive model edge of +41% and expected value near +94%. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the handicap bets on Villarreal with good potential but no confirmed entry yet, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised given the incomplete historical validation and the match tempo being lower than their last encounter.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 82