Match Replay

Step 78 of 88. Current minute: 85 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	4	12	6	-	1.11	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	6.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	41	251	1.22	1.2	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +41.3% | EV +94.9% | ROI +122.8% | n=18 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -37.2% | EV -71.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=18 | k=1.91

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -47.2% | EV -75.6% | ROI -94.4% | n=18 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 85th minute with Villarreal leading 3-1, the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 43% from pre-match levels reflecting their current advantage. Villarreal has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the final phase, matching the scoreline well. Historical data on similar situations is limited and does not fully confirm the model's signal for a -1 handicap on Villarreal, despite a strong edge and expected value. Therefore, this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 85