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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	2	10	5	-	2.5	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	19	67	1	1.02	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.3% | EV +90.5% | ROI -14.8% | n=52 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +35.7% | EV +89.2% | ROI -32.7% | n=52 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -42.3% | EV -63.5% | ROI +9.6% | n=52 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -45.3% | EV -72.5% | ROI +18.2% | n=52 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 68th minute with Villarreal leading 3-1 against Levante, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 42% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite this, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and the game tempo is slower than their previous meeting. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Villarreal shows a 50% win rate but a negative ROI, indicating weak historical reliability. The model signals a promising edge and expected value for a -1 handicap bet at 2.30 odds, yet the historical check is not passed, so no new bet is advised. This is a watch situation where monitoring the match is recommended rather than entering a bet, considering the current score advantage but uncertain game control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 68