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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	17	5	12	7	-	1.1	2.3	1.32	-	-
Away	1	0	0	8	2	6	1	-	-	-	3.3	1.6	6.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.75	4.1	4	1.22	1.2	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +41.6% | EV +95.6% | ROI +122.8% | n=18 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -16.7% | EV -66.6% | ROI -100.0% | n=18 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -17.8% | EV -72.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=18 | k=4.10

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -37.4% | EV -71.4% | ROI -100.0% | n=18 | k=1.91

AI-agent: At the 86th minute in Villarreal's 4-1 lead over Levante, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Villarreal has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the final phase, reflecting the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations suggests a strong edge for a -1 handicap on the home side, with a 100% win rate in 18 matches, but the sample size is below the preferred threshold, so the historical check is weak. The model identifies a promising bet on Villarreal -1 with a 41.6% edge and 95.6% expected value, yet the entry rule is not confirmed due to the weak historical validation. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is advised despite the favorable model metrics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391158 | minute: 86