Match Replay

Step 30 of 65. Current minute: 42 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.05	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	2.75	1.8	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
11	4.33	1.36	3	1.2	1.05	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.2	1.65	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.8% | EV +13.9% | ROI +14.1% | n=232 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.3% | EV +6.9% | ROI +20.3% | n=232 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.3% | EV +1.9% | ROI +2.6% | n=232 | k=1.42

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.9% | ROI -24.0% | n=232 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 42 minutes with Roma leading 1-0, the match shows no clear dominance from either side recently, and the tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Bologna with a 58.9% win rate and a positive ROI of 14.1%, indicating some value. The model favors this handicap with an edge of 6.8% and an expected value of 13.9%, but entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match rhythm. The top recommended markets suggest watching the +1 handicap on Bologna, double chance for Bologna or draw, and other cautious options, making this a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. Risk control is advised before considering any stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 42