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Match Replay

Step 54 of 65. Current minute: 78 .
Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 9 1 8 4 - - - 2.5 2.02 4.1
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.23 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 21 1.01 21 1.01 1 - - - - 2.12 1.75 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.8% | EV +50.7% | ROI +72.4% | n=75 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.6% | ROI +14.3% | n=75 | k=1.75
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.8% | EV -8.2% | ROI -26.3% | n=75 | k=2.12
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.8% | EV -11.4% | ROI -56.3% | n=75 | k=4.10
AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, with Bologna applying pressure but no clear dominance in play. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Roma was ahead 1-0 at this stage. Historical data strongly supports a Roma handicap -1 bet, showing a 98.5% win rate and a 72.4% ROI over 75 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +27.8% and expected value of +50.7%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already held or covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Roma -1, but risk management should be considered given the current game dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 78