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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 15'   —   Bologna 0:1 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.5 2.08 1.57
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - 2.35 1.73 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4.33 1.4 2.75 1.2 1.07 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.7% | EV +3.5% | ROI +10.2% | n=151 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.3% | EV +6.4% | ROI +7.5% | n=151 | k=2.75
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +0.9% | ROI -8.6% | n=151 | k=1.53
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -13.1% | n=151 | k=2.62
AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the match, Roma leads Bologna 1-0 and is applying clear pressure, reflecting the current game flow. Roma is more active than in their last meeting, while Bologna is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win bet, showing a negative ROI and a failed check. Although the model identifies a potential value in betting on Bologna to win with an 8.50 odds and positive expected value, the entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match tempo. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring options like Asian Handicap +1 or Double Chance 1X with modest edges but no strong signals to place a bet now. This is a watch situation, not a mandatory bet opportunity, and risk control is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 15