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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.5	2.1	1.6
Away	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	2.3	1.7	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8.5	4.33	1.4	2.75	1.2	1.07	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.8% | EV +5.9% | ROI +11.4% | n=146 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.3% | EV +6.4% | ROI +7.4% | n=146 | k=2.75

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.7% | ROI -12.8% | n=146 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI +9.6% | n=146 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the match, Roma leads 1-0 against Bologna, but there is no clear dominance in play or sustained pressure from either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data for similar situations shows a low success rate for home wins with a negative ROI, indicating weak historical support. The model suggests a potential value in betting on a Bologna win with an 8.50 odds and positive expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current match dynamics. The top markets recommend watching the Asian Handicap +1 and Double Chance 1X options, both showing moderate positive edges but no strong signals to place a bet now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the mixed signals and lack of confirmed momentum.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 13