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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 23'   —   Bologna 0:1 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.5 2 1.48
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 - 2.6 1.85 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4 1.44 2.62 1.22 1.07 - - 1.12 6 1.68 2.15 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.3% | EV +6.6% | ROI +6.0% | n=182 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.4% | EV +6.4% | ROI +1.0% | n=182 | k=2.62
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI -0.8% | n=182 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +4.0% | ROI -30.8% | n=182 | k=6.00
AI-agent: At 23 minutes in the Bologna vs Roma match, Roma leads 1-0 and currently applies pressure, reflecting the scoreline. Both teams play at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win bet, showing a negative ROI and a failed validation. The model suggests a home win with positive expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching options like Asian Handicap +1 and Double Chance 1X, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 23