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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 23'   —   Bologna 0:1 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.5 2.02 1.48
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 - 2.6 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
9 4 1.44 2.62 1.22 1.07 - - 1.14 5.5 1.7 2.1 3.2 1.36
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +7.3% | ROI +7.0% | n=182 | k=2.02
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.9% | EV +4.9% | ROI +1.0% | n=182 | k=2.62
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.2% | ROI -3.4% | n=182 | k=1.36
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.7% | ROI -36.5% | n=182 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At 23 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 1-0, with the visitors applying pressure in the recent phase of the match. The scoreline reflects the current game flow, although both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win bet, showing a negative ROI and a failed verification. The model suggests a potential value in betting on a Bologna win with an edge of +5.0% and EV of +44.6%, but entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match tempo. The top markets recommend watching options like Asian Handicap +1 on Bologna and Double Chance 1X, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a strong betting opportunity, with moderate edges and EVs but no clear call to bet now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 23