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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	3.3
Away	2	0	0	7	1	6	5	-	1.32	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	12	1.05	11	1.04	1	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.35	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.1% | EV +45.9% | ROI +45.0% | n=49 | k=1.82

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -6.8% | n=49 | k=1.57

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -7.1% | n=49 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.7% | ROI +1.0% | n=49 | k=3.30

AI-agent: At 48 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 2-0 with clear pressure from the visitors, though the game tempo is lower than their last meeting. Historical data supports a strong edge for Roma on the -1 Asian Handicap, showing 85% win probability and a 45% ROI over 49 matches. The model confirms this with a 25.1% edge and 45.9% expected value at odds of 1.82, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Roma -1, but given the current game flow and existing portfolio coverage, monitoring remains prudent rather than forcing new entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 48