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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 50'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.3
Away 2 0 0 7 1 6 5 - 1.32 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
41 13 1.04 11 1.04 1 - - - - 1.3 3.5 2.38 1.55
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.6% | EV +46.7% | ROI +48.4% | n=51 | k=1.82
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI +2.9% | n=51 | k=3.50
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.1% | ROI -8.8% | n=51 | k=1.55
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.2% | ROI -2.9% | n=51 | k=3.30
AI-agent: At the 50th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0 with clear pressure from the visitors, though the game tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap for Roma, showing an 87.8% win rate and a 48.4% ROI over 51 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +25.6% and expected value of +46.7%, and the current position is already covered in the portfolio. The best betting opportunity remains on Roma -1 handicap, but since the position is open, no new bet is advised now. Other markets like under 2.5 goals are only worth watching, not betting, to manage risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 50